Italy Serie A: Pisa – Atalanta 16/01/2026

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Pisa are struggling a lot to cope with the level of the division, but they rarely go down without a fight. They have been competitive in most of their matches, but simply cannot get wins. Their overall record of 1-10-9 perfectly reflects their season so far.
While they are not that poor in chance creation, at home the ball just does not want to go in. In the ten matches they have played there, they have recorded nine unders and have scored only once. That was in their only win of the season, the 1-0 against Cremonese.

Atalanta have radically changed their playing identity after the departure of Gasperini. They are certainly much more conservative compared to previous seasons. The Juric experiment failed, but with Palladino on the bench the team has improved impressively.
After the home win against Chelsea, 2-1 in the Champions League, they have recorded five wins and one draw in six league matches. The only defeat was a 1-0 loss to league leaders Inter, while all their wins came with under 3.5 goals, with the four most recent ones ending 1-0 or 2-0.

Atalanta have once again become a team you can trust. The away win at 1.55 is not bad value, but this match is unlikely to open up. Pisa’s home numbers make the 2.50+ odds of the combo with no goal attractive, but the safer option looks to be the combination with under 3.5. Atalanta usually win these types of matches with tight, controlled scores, while Pisa do create chances at home and it is not logical for them to keep failing to score forever.