Spain La Liga: Atletico Madrid – Real Madrid 27/09/2025

5-2

Bet on team goals

I am turning Friday’s blog thoughts into a bet in the Madrid derby. Atletico vs Real, with the latter winning all matches so far and only in the first one (1-0 against Osasuna) did they score fewer than two goals. Atletico conceded two against Rayo at this same ground just days ago, eventually winning 3-2 at the end thanks to a Julian Alvarez hat-trick.

Of course, Real have not yet faced a side of Atletico’s quality in the league, but the Rojiblancos are no longer the defensive fortress of the past. On the contrary, they give away chances and goals, and even though Vinicius has not scored in 11 league matches against Atletico, I will take the risk.

Instead of the highly likely and convenient Goal/Goal & Over 2.5, or the simple Over 2.5, I will go only with Real’s goals.

Real Over 1.5 team goals at 2.02. Any of these options you choose will be a good bet. Pick what fits you best.