Premier League: Aston Villa vs Chelsea 04/03/2026

Betting on Asian Handicap

It is clear that Aston Villa are going through a dip in form. They remain a serious team with clear principles, but their overall performances have not been convincing. The three key absences in midfield, Tielemans, Kamara and McGinn, have disrupted their balance, and they are no longer getting results against the flow of games.

They sit 4th in the standings, but based on xGoals data they should be 12th, with 16 fewer points. By that metric, they are by far the most overperforming team in the league. Last Friday they lost 2-0 to bottom placed Wolves, and overall they have a 1-2-3 record in their last six domestic matches.

Chelsea lost 2-1 away to Arsenal in a derby where they played with ten men from the 70th minute and arguably were the better side overall. They have three league matches without a win, following draws with Burnley and Leeds, but their performances were not poor. They paid mostly for red cards and careless defensive mistakes.

At the moment Chelsea look like the better team. They are comfortable away from home, very competitive in tough matches, and seem closer to victory than their opponents. With fairly balanced odds available, we can back them with the safety of the Asian handicap 0.