England Premier League: Chelsea – Leeds 10/02/2026

Chelsea has revitalized under Rosenior, but Leeds’ scoring consistency on the road suggests they can challenge the hosts. Given Chelsea’s defensive lapses, the BTTS + Over 2.5 combo offers a solid balance of risk and value.

Betting on goals

The coaching change has worked for Chelsea. Where they previously looked tired and were on a run of poor results, Rosenior came in and immediately improved their overall performance and, above all, their efficiency.
With the exception of the away second leg League Cup semifinal against Arsenal, the Blues have won the other six matches they have played recently. In the Premier League, with four consecutive victories, they remain on track and are favorites to once again secure a Champions League spot.

Leeds are in very good form and have built a six point cushion above the relegation zone. From early December, when they won 3-1 at home against Chelsea, until now, they hold a 5-6-2 record, losing only to Arsenal and Newcastle.
Although they still have issues away from home, having collected just 7 of their 29 league points on the road, I believe they can cause plenty of problems for the hosts, who will also have one day less rest. What is certain is that they can contribute to the scoring, having found the net in seven of their last eight away matches.

Chelsea are the logical favorites in this matchup and taking into account the playing characteristics of both sides, odds in the 3.00 range on the combined home win plus both teams to score look attractive. However, as they continue to show gaps in their performances (in the last home match against West Ham they were trailing 2-0 until the 57th minute), I will reduce both the risk and the expected return. I will select the combo both teams to score plus over 2.5 goals, which is offered at even money by the bookmakers and at these levels represents a solid betting option.