EuroLeague: Hapoel TA – ASVEL 04/12/2025

11-5 Steals

Basketball Special Markets

Hapoel Tel Aviv’s aggressive perimeter defense should give them a clear edge over ASVEL in the steals market. Their guards anticipate passing lanes well, converting deflections into quick-transition points, which typically inflates steals over a 40-minute EuroLeague pace. ASVEL’s backcourt has shown vulnerability under sustained pressure, particularly when denied comfortable entry actions and trapped on ball screens, leading to rushed decisions and mishandles.​

Expect Hapoel to set the tone with aggressive closeouts and digs from the nail, targeting ASVEL’s secondary ball-handlers and punishing any loose handle. If Hapoel dictates tempo, ASVEL’s offensive rhythm should fracture, producing extra possessions via steals and tilted momentum sequences. Given the stylistic matchup—Hapoel’s pressure defense versus ASVEL’s ball-security lapses—the steals market tilts toward the Israeli side across most game scripts.​

I think that odds above 2.00 on this market, where Hapoel is even priced as an underdog by the bookies, carry significant value.