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EuroBasket: Italy vs Slovenia 07/09/2025

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Italy
Slovenia
Xiaomi Arena (Riga), 16:30 @ 07.09.2025
Prediction result:Accurate

Betting on hendicap

Eurobasket has reached the round of 16 knockout stage, and the matchup between Italy and Slovenia is one of the most balanced.

Italy rely on a top player (Fontecchio), several role players, experienced veterans, and a good coach, but I disagree with their favoritism in a knockout clash against Doncic’s team. Of course, no side stands out with just one star, and Slovenia also have role players who can step up in support of Luka, either defensively or with key shots.

I do not see Italy having a real edge, and certainly not by the margin implied by the bookmakers. I expect a derby until the end, and the bet on Slovenia with +4.5 points is worth the risk.

Prediction result:Accurate
Italy vs Slovenia | Slovenia +4.5
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