Premier League: Liverpool vs Burnley 17/01/2026

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Betting on Goals in 1st half

When things start going badly, it’s not a bad idea to go for one high-probability bet, although nothing is certain — not even that Liverpool will deal easily with Burnley. Still…

Under Arne Slot, Liverpool at Anfield play in a controlled but extremely aggressive manner in the opening minutes. With an average of 62% possession and over 15 shots per match, they constantly pin opponents into a “low block.” What is crucial for this pick is that in 75% of their home games, a goal is scored already in the first half, as Liverpool aim to break the resistance of defensively minded teams early.

Burnley will surely sit deep and try to congest the midfield, but statistics show that away from home they allow almost 16 shots on their goal. Under that kind of pressure and a series of corners, concentration usually drops before the break. Even if Burnley somehow survive the first half hour or surprise on the counter, Liverpool’s intensity does not drop — they immediately raise the tempo, which drastically increases the chance of another goal.

With this balance of power, one goal in the first 45 minutes is a realistic minimum that protects the stake, while a second goal (often the result of total offensive pressure) turns the bet into a clear win.