Europa League: Nottingham vs Fenerbahce 26/02/2026

Betting on Handicap

Given the situation in the Premier League, Nottingham European campaign looks like a luxury. The team is in immediate danger of relegation, sitting 17th and only two points above the in-form West Ham.

However, last Thursday they delivered an impressive performance, winning 3-0 in Istanbul and practically securing qualification.

Fenerbahce seem to be entering a difficult period. Last Monday they dropped points at home against weak Kasimpasa, conceding an equalizer in the 101st minute while the opponent had ten players. They missed the chance to catch Galatasaray at the top, although they remain the only unbeaten team in the league.

Nottingham practically secured qualification in the first leg. They remain unsettled after continuous coaching changes and are likely to rotate heavily, with league matches coming on Sunday and Wednesday.

Fenerbahce have negative momentum and important absences, yet there is a sense of unity. Even for pride, they will want to be competitive.

It is difficult to assess motivation in a second leg where qualification seems decided. The home win has been heavily backed and now sits around 1.50, which looks too low. At these levels it is worth opposing. For higher risk one can look at the double chance X2 around 2.40+, and for lower risk the Asian handicap +1.0.