Europa League: PAOK vs Celta 19/02/2026

Because of the numerous absences in PAOK’s squad and the potential for a draw, I see value on Celta +0.25 despite the strong home ground.

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The fact that we “smashed” the Benfica price ultimately meant nothing. A half loss on Tuesday and we move on to the Europa League. I waited until the very last moment to see PAOK’s final and complete list of absentees. I also wanted to hear Giraldez’s thoughts regarding Celta’s starting lineup.

I had already mentioned on Tuesday that the prices in this market were practically mispriced. Simply put, they were not justified by the news. PAOK enter the first knockout match with half the team unavailable. Their best player, Giannis Konstantelias, and striker Giorgos Giakoumakis are suspended, as is coach Razvan Lucescu. Midfielder Meïté did not recover in time, while Pelkas, Despodov and Ivanušec are also sidelined. Lucescu will have to pull rabbits out of the hat from the stands.

Of course Toumba is a strong home ground. Of course PAOK’s fans have often carried the team to victory on their own. The black and whites have not suffered a home defeat for a year.

But once we put emotions aside — and they have no place in betting — I believe PAOK’s absences tilt the balance against a home win.

And since I also see serious draw potential, I’ve chosen Celta +0.25