EuroBasket: Poland vs Belgium 04/09/2025

Betting on the Handicap Difference

Poland enters the match against Belgium with heads held high after several strong performances in the group stage. The win over Slovenia showed that they can play at a high tempo and use outside shooting as a weapon, while the loss to France brought them back down to earth and reminded them there is no room for relaxation. Belgium, on the other hand, has shown fighting spirit but also inconsistency; narrow losses and fluctuations in play give the impression that they lack continuity. Looking at previous games, it’s clear that Poland has stronger support and more depth in their squad, while Belgium must play perfectly just to stay in the game.

Belgians to a “Double-Digit” Defeat

The home court in Katowice further tilts the balance in favor of Poland, which looks more cohesive and prepared for crucial duels. Belgium can certainly threaten if they find their shooting rhythm and play aggressively in transition, but it’s hard to expect that to last all 40 minutes. Poland has more weapons, from shooting runs to solid defense, and that should make the difference. A Polish victory by around 10 to 15 points seems very likely.