Given Arsenal’s patient build-up, Tottenham’s low shot volume, and the increasingly tactical nature of this matchup, the under 23.5 total shots looks like the most logical outcome.
Premier League: Tottenham vs Arsenal 22/02/2026

Tottenham

Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London), 18:30 @ 22.02.2026
Betting on Shots Total
Although the 23.5 shots line may seem demanding at first glance, the overall match dynamics strongly support the “under” option. Arsenal under Arteta play with extreme patience, maintaining long spells of possession and building attacks carefully until they create a high-quality scoring opportunity.
This approach naturally limits rushed and low-percentage attempts that tend to inflate shot statistics. On the other hand, Tottenham have been among the weaker teams in the league this season in terms of total shots. They often struggle to break down well-organized defensive blocks, which results in a limited number of attempts per match. Considering that their previous head-to-head finished with exactly 23 shots, it’s clear that these derbies are becoming increasingly tactical and controlled affairs.
With Arsenal boasting the league’s strongest defense and effectively neutralizing opponents, combined with Tottenham’s inconsistency in the final third, a measured game with a total shot count staying below the posted line appears to be the most realistic outcome.
Tottenham vs Arsenal | Under 23.5 Shots Total
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