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The under 27.5 total shots line looks set a bit too high. A more controlled match is expected, with less attacking continuity and longer “dead” phases of play.
Betting on Total Shots
The statistics this season are quite clear and unforgiving: Tottenham rank among the weakest teams in the league in terms of shots attempted, averaging just 10.84 shots per match. That figure alone already sets a relatively low ceiling for the overall shots line, especially against opponents who do not apply constant high pressure.
On top of that, Spurs enter this match, as they have several recent ones, without a number of key injured players, which directly affects the quality and fluidity of their attacking play. Their offensive output looks highly questionable, something that was clearly evident in the match against Manchester United, where they struggled to sustain pressure. Add to this their disciplinary issues, highlighted by Romero’s early red card – a factor that often kills the rhythm of a game and further reduces the number of attempts on goal.
Newcastle, on the other hand, sit around the middle of the league when it comes to shots, averaging 12.92 per game. That is a respectable but not excessive number, particularly away from home, where they often adopt a more cautious approach, focusing more on transitions than on sustained pressure in the final third.
Their most recent head-to-head meeting in December was unusually open, ending 2–2 with as many as 27 total shots. However, that match should be viewed as the upper limit rather than a realistic benchmark. Early goals, a high tempo, and “run-and-gun” phases all contributed to an inflated shot count, which contrasts sharply with what Tottenham are currently producing, especially given their absences and overall form.
