EuroLeague: Virtus vs ASVEL 04/02/2026

Although the numbers look balanced at first glance, form and match-ups clearly favor Virtus. With Niang in excellent form, the home team’s physical edge in the paint, and ASVEL’s recurring foul issues, there is clear value on Virtus in the rebounding markets or on Niang’s individual rebound over.

Betting on Rebounds

If you look only at the raw statistics, it appears very even, with both teams averaging around 33 rebounds per game. However, once you dig a bit deeper, it becomes clear that Virtus hold the advantage, primarily through current form and a favorable matchup in the paint.

Virtus have a clear edge here. Saliou Niang is playing the season of his career and has already established himself as one of the league’s most reliable rebounders in 2026, highlighted by a 17-rebound double-double against Dubai. His impact on both ends of the floor is constant, and he is very difficult to knock out of rhythm.

On their home court, Virtus are particularly strong at securing defensive rebounds, which allows them to control the tempo of the game. ASVEL, on the other hand, can collect some offensive rebounds, but often pays the price with poor transition defense and by allowing too many extra possessions.

In Bologna, Virtus play with more physicality and aggression, and with Niang, Diouf, and Smailagić, they have a clear advantage in the paint. ASVEL’s interior players frequently get into foul trouble, which further tilts this matchup toward the home side. All of this points to a scenario where Virtus dictate the rhythm, control the boards, and have a strong chance to cover the rebounding line or, in this case, win the total rebounds battle outright.