Deportivo Alavés host Málaga on October 23, 2026, in a La Liga clash where the hosts will be desperate to improve their modest 26% win rate. Alavés enter the fixture having secured just one win in their last five outings, alongside three draws and a single defeat, highlighting a struggle for consistency. Their 35 goals scored and 46 conceded across the season paint a picture of a side battling to find the net regularly while also being somewhat porous at the back.
In stark contrast, Málaga arrive with a significantly stronger record, boasting 18 wins and a 47% win rate. Despite their superior league position, their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. However, their impressive 66 goals scored this season demonstrates a potent attacking threat. The historical head-to-head suggests a tight affair, with Alavés holding a slight edge in recent meetings, winning three of the last five. Interestingly, the win probability heavily favors a home win or a draw, with Málaga given a 0% chance, which seems to contradict their strong season form. This fixture promises to be a fascinating battle, with Alavés looking to upset the odds against a more established Málaga side.