Real Madrid welcome Sevilla to the Santiago Bernabéu on October 18, 2026, in a La Liga fixture that, on paper, appears heavily skewed towards the hosts. Carlo Ancelotti's men boast an impressive 71% win rate this season, having won 22 of their 31 matches, scoring 65 goals and conceding just 29. Their recent form is strong, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings.
In stark contrast, Sevilla are enduring a challenging campaign. With only nine wins from 31 games and a 29% win rate, they sit much lower in the table. Their goal difference is negative (39 scored, 51 conceded), and their recent form highlights their struggles: one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five. The historical head-to-head also firmly favors Real Madrid, who have won all of the last five encounters, often keeping clean sheets.
All signs point to a comfortable home victory, reflected in the 1.297 odds for a Real Madrid win. The "Over 2.5 goals" market at 1.38 also suggests an expectation of an open game, likely driven by Real Madrid's attacking prowess. Sevilla will need a monumental effort to defy the odds and halt Real Madrid's march. Key narratives revolve around whether Real Madrid can maintain their dominant form and if Sevilla can somehow find a spark to avoid another defeat against the league giants.
1. T. Courtois, 24. D. Dumfries, 16. I. Konaté, 22. A. Rüdiger, 17. Marc Cucurella, 8. F. Valverde, 14. A. Tchouaméni, 25. Y. Diomande, 5. J. Bellingham, 7. Vinícius Júnior, 10. Kylian Mbappé
1. O. Vlachodimos, 2. Juan Iglesias, 5. Andrés Castrín, 4. Kike Salas, 17. G. Suazo, 8. G. Kochorashvili, 6. L. Agoumé, 30. Miguel Ángel, 24. Y. Fofana, 20. Félix Correia, 9. R. Ure
Match events
23' Card Yellow Card — Felix Correia (Sevilla)
23' Card Yellow Card — Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)
30' Goal Normal Goal — Arda Güler (Real Madrid) (assists: Yan Diomande)
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