La Liga’s regional derby, the ‘Derbi de la Comunitat’, sees Valencia host Villarreal on October 24, 2026, a fixture historically dominated by the Yellow Submarine. Valencia's struggles are stark, with only 29% of their matches ending in victory this season, reflected in their recent form of two wins and three losses from their last five outings. They've found the net 34 times but conceded 46, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Villarreal, conversely, are enjoying a strong campaign, boasting a 61% win rate, scoring 56 goals and conceding 36. Their current form of three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five suggests they arrive in confident mood. Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favour Villarreal, who have secured three wins and two draws in the last five meetings, including a dominant 2-0 victory at the Mestalla previously. The win probability, interestingly, gives Valencia a 0% chance of victory, with a 50% likelihood for both a draw and a Villarreal win. This stark prediction underscores the challenge facing the hosts, who will need to defy significant odds and recent history to take any points from this encounter.
1. S. Dimitrievski, 24. P. Maffeo, 5. C. Tarrega, 12. J. De Haas, 14. J. Gaya, 18. Pepelu, 2. G. Rodriguez, 19. D. Raba, 8. J. Guerra, 7. A. Danjuma, 9. H. Duro
25. P. Gulácsi, 15. S. Mouriño, 6. Pau Navarro, 12. Renato Veiga, 23. Sergi Cardona, 24. N. Saliba, 18. P. Gueye, 17. T. Buchanan, 14. Santi Comesaña, 10. Alberto Moleiro, 9. G. Mikautadze
Match events
14' subst Substitution 1 — David Otorbi Ejededawe (Valencia) (assists: Daniel Raba Antolín)
34' Card Yellow Card — Daniel Raba Antolín (Valencia)
36' Var Penalty confirmed — Daniel Raba Antolín (Valencia)
37' Card Yellow Card — Renato Veiga (Villarreal)
38' Goal Penalty — José Luis García Vayá (Valencia)
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