HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax

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UEFA Europa Conference League · Oct 15, 2026 · 16:45

Match preview

HNK Hajduk Split will welcome Ajax to Poljud on October 15, 2026, for a UEFA Europa Conference League clash that pits contrasting forms against each other. The Croatian side enters this encounter brimming with confidence, boasting a perfect record of three wins from three in the competition, scoring eight goals and conceding just one. Their recent domestic form mirrors this success, with a 100% win rate in their last three outings.

In stark contrast, Ajax arrive in Split after a mixed start to their European campaign, registering one win, one draw, and one loss from their three matches, scoring six and conceding three. Their recent form shows a similar inconsistency, with a 33% win rate from their last three games. Despite the bookmakers heavily favouring the visitors with odds of 1.546, the win probability paints a much tighter picture, giving Hajduk a surprising 45% chance against Ajax's 10%, suggesting value on the home side. The previous head-to-head meeting ended in a goalless draw, indicating a potential for a cagey affair. Expect Hajduk’s solid defence to be tested by Ajax’s attacking intent, with the Over 2.5 goals market at 1.57 suggesting an open game.