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Over 3.5 Goals Tips & Predictions

By Saul Mumford | ⏲️ Reading time: 7 minutes
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This Article will explain all you need to know about the Over 3.5 goal market and Tipsters for this market. We will start with the basics and explain how the market works. We will cover what to look for when deciding if an Over 3.5 goal tip is a good one and how to seek out the best tipster. Of course, we will also provide you with links to our own experts' latest tips.

What is an Over 3.5 Goal bet?

Placing a Bet on the Over 3.5 Goal market means that you believe that the game will contain at least four goals. It’s completely irrelevant which teams score the goals or what the final score is. It doesn't matter who wins the game or if the full-time result is a draw. All that matters is that there are four or more goals in the game.

Just to be clear, we have shown the various possible scorelines and whether your bet would win or lose:

Match ResultTotal GoalsOver 3.5 Bet
0-00Lose
1-01Lose
0-11Lose
1-12Lose
2-02Lose
0-22Lose
2-13Lose
1-23Lose
3-03Lose
0-33Lose
2-24Wins
3-14Wins
1-34Wins
Any other scoreline5+Wins

What to look for when evaluating Over 3.5 Goal betting tips?

  • Injuries & Suspensions - These can have a significant impact on a game if a team's key player is out due to injury or suspension. A missing or indeed a returning player could make a change to recent form. If a team's star player returns, especially if it is a striker, that's great, as it increases the chances of scoring goals. However, if a key defender is back, this could be bad as it might stop the team from conceding as many goals
  • Poor Defensive Record - Examine the team's recent form; do they concede a high number of goals? If so, chances are this will continue
  • High-Scoring Teams - Again, take a look at the team's recent form. Do they tend to score a lot of goals per game?. If they have scored 3-4 goals in each of their last few fixtures, this could continue. 
  • League Statistics - When seeking tips, ensure they are from a league with a high average of goals per game. In the 2024 season the English Premier League averaged nearly three goals per game. But the Greek Super League was below 2.5 goals per game.

Why are Over 3.5 Goal tips a good choice?

  • Who wins is irrelevant - This market is all about goals; nothing else matters. So, it doesn't matter whether you end up with a home win, an away win, or a draw; the important thing is that there are at least 4 goals in the game. You may be expecting the league leaders to thrash the team bottom of the league by four, five or more goals, and that's why you picked the bet. If it ends up in a 2-2 draw, your reasoning for picking the game wasn’t correct, but your bet still wins.
  • Holding your interest till the final whistle or till your bet wins - Once again, as the game is all about goals from minute one, you can be cheering on every attack to end in a goal. Unlike a lot of other bets, your bet can’t lose till the game ends. Even if it's 2-0 as you head for full-time, any 2 goals could still win your bet.
  • Great odds - As the average amount of goals per game in the top leagues is somewhere between 2.5 and 3, depending on the league, your bet, according to the averages, is likely to lose. This means that in most games, you will find really great odds on the Over 3.5 goal market.

Over 3.5 Goal Tips: How to increase your profits

Like we most online betting there are ways to increase your profits, you have access to a wide range of online bookmakers and they will not all have the same odds for the same games, there won’t be massive differences but better odds means more money when you win so consider comparing a few sites to find the best odds or potentially using an odds checking website that will do this for you.

When joining most online bookmakers, you are normally offered some sort of welcome bonus. Not all are as good as they sound, so be sure to read and terms and conditions that are attached. Most offers involve a deposit percentage match or maybe a Free Bet of some kind. Taking the Free Bet option usually means that once you have placed a qualifying bet, you then get another Free stake to bet again with. This effectively means you can place two bets, thereby increasing your chances of winning.

How to analyse Over 3.5 Goal Predictions?

Tips are, of course, not guaranteed to be successful, but you can do a few things to help you determine which are likely to be the better tips. Firstly, don’t just pick the first tipster you find, look at as many as you can. You should be able to see their overall success rate, as well as potentially a recent one.

You can always consider having a trial period by making notes of their tips and not betting on them, and checking later if they were successful. If you don’t wish to do this, another option is to check if multiple tipsters are recommending the same game. The more tipsters suggesting it may also mean it's a better bet than some they disagree with.

Best of all, though is to check yourself and see if you agree with the tip, Check to see if you can find a reason they have picked that game. Has one team's top striker just come back from suspension, and the opposition team's backs are both out injured? As that could suggest, it's a good tip.

Conclusion

Following tipsters on the Over 3.5 goal market is certainly more risky than, say, the Over 2.5 goal market, simply because of the maths; one more goal needs to be scored for your bet to win. However, this does mean that you get better odds on the Over 3.5 goal market, and so you need to win fewer bets to turn a profit. Overall, this market is great for making the game fun to watch and for enjoying a decent return when a bet wins. If you are happy with smaller wins, you may be better starting with the Over 2.5 goal market options and progressing to the Over 3.5 goal market when you feel more confident.

FAQ. Frequently Asked Questions
  • 💡 What markets are similar to Over 3.5 goals?

    The two closest are the Over 2.5 and the Over 4.5 Goal markets. It’s the same type of bet being placed, but obviously, in the Over 2.5 you only need 3 goals to be scored for your bet to win, and in the Over 4.5 goal market, you need 5 goals.

  • 💡 Who is the best Over 3.5 Goal Tipster?

    We could add a name here for you, but by the next round of games it could have changed. Your best option instead is to look for multiple Tipsters and compare their success rates and see what upcoming matches they agree on. Better still, conduct some research to see if you agree with their findings.

  • 💡 What is an over 3.5 Goal Bet?

    Betting on the Over 3.5 goal market means that you are predicting that the game will contain at least 4 goals. You are not predicting who will win or a draw or what the score might be, as long as there are four or more goals in the game, your bet wins.

  • 💡 What are betting tips?

    Betting tips are predictions, and there is no guarantee at all that they will be correct. They are typically suggested by a expert in the sport, or at least someone who claims to be. They are advising on a particular bet that the Tipster believes will win.

Author
Saul Mumford - Content writer and sports expert
Content writer and sports expert
Saul has always been a keen sportsman and latterly sports fan who is a close follower of football, hockey, and lawn bowls. Having always been someone who could identify value, his gambling insights come through in his writing, offering in depth, well researched, and thought provoking articles.
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