Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints – Prediction

The New Orleans Saints are on the road at the Miami Dolphins, currently sitting at 2-9 after their most recent defeat in week 12 against divisional rivals the Atlanta Falcons. That defeat leaves them bottom of the AFC South. Saints fans would have hoped their Week 11 win against the Panthers might be a turning point in the season, but it looks like that won’t be the case. The 2024 season was the worst season for 20 years for the Saints, finishing on 5-12, and they look on course for it to be even worse this season, meaning it will have been 5 seasons running they haven’t made it to the postseason, something that hasn’t happened since the 2001-2005 seasons where they also failed to make the postseason five years running. The timings and location of our New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins Prediction game are in the chart below.

Miami Dolphins fans look set for another disappointing season, currently sitting on 4-7, they look set to miss out on the postseason for the second season running. They did start the season 1-6 and are, in fact, 3-1 over their last four games, so they will be hoping to continue turning their season around and make a very late push for a wild-card spot in the postseason. It’s been 25 years since Miami last won a postseason game, and they will be hoping the rest they have gotten from their week 12 bye will give them the edge needed to beat the Saints. If they can’t claim victory, their season will be all but over.

 What is the latest team news?

So very important is to consider the team news, including current form and injuries, when we make our New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins prediction. The latest form and news for both teams is below.

New Orleans Saints – Looking for their third win of the season.

The morale at the Saints at the moment couldn’t be much lower; they are set for their worst season in 20+ years, and last week’s defeat to NFC South rivals, the Atlanta Falcons, will only have made this worse. The news that key RB Alvin Kamara was injured in this defeat and looks set to miss the game against Miami leaves them very short in this position after losing Kendre Miller with a torn ACL in October. This leaves the Saints with only rookie Devin Neal and Audric Estime, who has only played five snaps all season.

Miami Dolphins – Can they make it three wins in a row?

Moral should be fairly high in Miami at the moment. Despite their current losing record, the Dolphins have won their last 2 games and 3 of the last 4, including an overtime win against the Washington Commanders in week 11. Their bye in week 12 will mean the team should be well rested, and with home advantage, they will be looking to win their 5th game of the season. Miami’s only new injuries are CB Juju Brents, who suffered a foot injury against Washington and will be out for the season. This shouldn’t affect the team too much, as he wasn’t starting games. They will be hoping CB Rasul Douglas manages to return after missing the last two games.

 Where to watch New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins

Depending on where you live, you will have options on how to watch to see if our New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins betting tip is correct.

In the United States, the games are split across multiple networks. In other countries, you will need to pay a broadcaster to get all the games.

• Sky Sports in the UK
• ESPN in Brazil
• Tencent in China.

DAZN offers a Game Pass globally, except in the US or China. This will allow you to view all games throughout the season, including the postseason.

However, some countries also have channels which are allowed to show a limited number of NFL games each week.

List of Free Broadcasters

• Australia – Seven Network shows the Thursday night game and two Sunday games each week.
• France – M6 shows one game a week for free.
• Germany – RTL and Nitro show most games for free.
• Mexico – Azteca 7 shows selected games for free.
• New Zealand – TVNZ+ shows three matches a week for free.
• Spain – Movistar shows selected games for free.
• United Kingdom – Channel 5 show two games free every Sunday.

 Prediction for New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins

At a quick glance, two teams with a losing record of 2-9 (Saints) and 4-7 (Dolphins), you wouldn’t think the game would have such a clear favourite. But with the Dolphins having won three of their last four and with home advantage, they are massive favourites with the bookmakers. A 10 bet on the moneyline on the Dolphins would only get you a return of 13-14. Therefore, in order to find a better value bet, we need to, as we often do with American Football, check the spread betting. The Dolphins with a -5.5 handicap to their points total is a much better value bet; a 10 bet on the spread/handicap of -5.5 would return around 19.

The Saints lost at home last weekend by 14 points, and of their 9 losses this season, they have averaged a 15.6-point loss. In fact, the only defeat by fewer than 5.5 points was in week two against the 49ers, when they lost by 5 (26-21). Miami have only won four games this season. It was a close 16-13 win last time out, but they managed 20+ point victories against the Falcons and Bills in weeks 8 and 10, so them winning by six points is certainly possible. Therefore, our New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins prediction is that the Miami Dolphins will overcome the -5.5 handicap and beat the spread and win by at least six points