Serie A’s Sunday evening fixture pits Lazio against AC Milan in a clash set to ignite the Stadio Olimpico. Lazio, despite a modest 36% win rate this season, arrive with momentum, having secured three wins and a draw in their last five outings. Their defensive solidity is evident, conceding only 30 goals, a testament to their disciplined approach. However, their 34 goals scored suggest they can struggle to convert chances.
AC Milan, in contrast, boast a superior 58% win rate and a more potent attack, netting 48 goals this campaign. While their overall season has been strong, their recent form is a concern, with three losses in their last five matches. This dip offers Lazio a glimmer of hope, especially given their historical head-to-head dominance over Milan at home, including two recent 1-0 victories.
The bookmakers favour Milan at 2.181, but the curious win probability of 45% for both home and draw suggests a tight contest. With the 'Under 2.5' goals market heavily favoured at 1.698, expect a cagey affair. This match will likely be decided by fine margins, with Lazio’s defensive organization challenging Milan’s attacking prowess. Keep an eye on the midfield battle, as control there will be crucial in dictating the flow and outcome of this intriguing encounter.
35. C. Mandas, 15. R. Floriani, 5. D. Doekhi, 25. O. Provstgaard, 17. N. Tavares, 16. D. Frattesi, 21. R. Belahyane, 24. K. Taylor, 11. G. Isaksen, 9. A. Pinamonti, 10. M. Zaccagni
16. M. Maignan, 34. M. Gila, 5. K. De Winter, 31. S. Pavlovic, 22. D. Moreira, 14. L. Modric, 80. Y. Musah, 2. P. Estupinan, 12. A. Rabiot, 56. A. Saelemaekers, 9. G. Ramos
Match events
10' Goal Normal Goal — M. Cancellieri (Lazio) (assists: M. Zaccagni)
39' Goal Normal Goal — T. Noslin (Lazio)
46' subst Substitution 1 — R. Loftus-Cheek (AC Milan) (assists: C. Pulisic)
46' subst Substitution 2 — P. Estupinan (AC Milan) (assists: D. Moreira)
46' subst Substitution 3 — L. Modric (AC Milan) (assists: Y. Musah)
58' subst Substitution 1 — M. Cancellieri (Lazio) (assists: G. Isaksen)
58' subst Substitution 2 — T. Noslin (Lazio) (assists: A. Pinamonti)
59' Card Yellow Card — C. Pulisic (AC Milan)
63' Card Yellow Card — R. Belahyane (Lazio)
64' Card Yellow Card — S. Pavlovic (AC Milan)
65' Goal Normal Goal — D. Moreira (AC Milan) (assists: C. Pulisic)
67' Goal Normal Goal — D. Moreira (AC Milan) (assists: A. Rabiot)
74' subst Substitution 3 — K. Taylor (Lazio) (assists: A. Gudmundsson)
77' subst Substitution 4 — A. Cisse (AC Milan) (assists: O. Hutchinson)
78' Card Yellow Card — M. Zaccagni (Lazio)
84' subst Substitution 4 — J. Sutalo (Lazio) (assists: D. Leite)
84' subst Substitution 5 — R. Floriani (Lazio) (assists: M. Lazzari)
85' subst Substitution 5 — G. Ramos (AC Milan) (assists: F. Camarda)
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