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Iceland Iceland vs Estonia Estonia

UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Sep 26, 2026 · 16:00

Final score: Iceland 1–1 Estonia

Match preview

The UEFA Nations League kicks off for Iceland and Estonia on September 26th, 2026, with both sides looking to lay down an early marker. As the first fixture of the campaign, there's no immediate form guide to dissect, making this an intriguing encounter where both teams will be eager to start with a win. The bookmakers clearly favour Iceland at home with odds of 1.37, reflecting the perceived advantage of playing on their own turf, despite the win probability for all outcomes currently sitting at an even 33%.

Estonia, priced at 10.3 for an away victory, will be keen to defy expectations and secure a crucial early point or three. A look at their recent head-to-head suggests a tight affair, with their last meeting ending in a 1-1 draw. This indicates that Estonia are more than capable of competing with their Nordic counterparts. With no goals scored or conceded for either side yet in the competition, this match offers a blank slate. The Over/Under 2.5 goals market is evenly split at 1.9, hinting at a potentially cagey affair or one that could open up depending on early developments. Watch for which team can settle quickest and exploit any early-season rustiness in the opposition defence.

Standings

  • Iceland: #1 · 8 Pts · 4 P (2W 2D 0L)
  • Estonia: #2 · 6 Pts · 4 P (1W 3D 0L)

Head-to-head

  • : Iceland 1–1 Estonia

Lineups

Iceland

1. E. Olafsson, 4. V. Palsson, 3. D. L. Gretarsson, 23. H. Magnusson, 2. L. Tomasson, 19. M. E. Ellertsson, 8. I. Johannesson, 14. A. F. Baldursson, 11. A. Gudmundsson, 7. H. Haraldsson, 9. O. Oskarsson

Estonia

1. K. Hein, 17. V. Kreida, 3. M. Kolobov, 2. M. Kuusk, 26. E. Tougjas, 23. V. Sinyavskiy, 7. R. Saarma, 14. P. Kristal, 8. M. Soomets, 5. R. R. Shein, 16. T. Varjund

Match events

  • 30' subst Substitution 1 — Albert Gudmundsson (Iceland) (assists: Isak Thorvaldsson)
  • 45' Goal Normal Goal — Andri Guðjohnsen (Iceland) (assists: Hákon Arnar Haraldsson)
  • 52' Goal Missed Penalty — Kevor Palumets (Estonia)
  • 54' Card Yellow Card — Karol Mets (Estonia)
  • 61' subst Substitution 1 — Mihkel Ainsalu (Estonia) (assists: Patrik Kristal)
  • 64' Goal Normal Goal — Maksim Paskotsi (Estonia) (assists: Rasmus Peetson)
  • 75' subst Substitution 2 — Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson (Iceland) (assists: Arnór Sigurðsson)
  • 75' subst Substitution 3 — Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (Iceland) (assists: Gylfi Sigurðsson)
  • 78' subst Substitution 2 — karel mustmaa (Estonia) (assists: Alex Matthias Tamm)
  • 81' Card Yellow Card — Rasmus Peetson (Estonia)
  • 84' Card Yellow Card — Stefán Teitur Thórdarson (Iceland)
  • 84' subst Substitution 4 — Mikael Ellertsson (Iceland) (assists: Logi Tomasson)
  • 85' subst Substitution 5 — Andri Guðjohnsen (Iceland) (assists: Kristall Mani Ingason)
  • 86' subst Substitution 3 — Mattias Käit (Estonia) (assists: Markus Soomets)

Match statistics

  • Passes accurate: 12 — 7
  • Shots insidebox: 1 — 0
  • Shots off Goal: 1 — 0
  • Total passes: 17 — 12
  • Total Shots: 1 — 0
  • Free Kicks: 0 — 1
  • Fouls: 1 — 0
  • Yellow Cards: 0 — 0
  • Red Cards: 0 — 0
  • Shots on Goal: 0 — 0
  • Ball Possession: 58% — 42%