Europa League: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 07/05/2026
Nottingham hold a 1-0 lead going into the second leg, but the tie remains open. The odds suggest value on Aston Villa to qualify, as their chances appear slightly underestimated.
Betting on qualifications
The all-English Europa League clash sees Nottingham heading into the second leg with a 1-0 lead from the first match, making them the slight favorites to reach the final.
If we accept the outright winner odds as correct (which they are not entirely), then there is significant value in Aston Villa’s qualification odds in combination with those for winning the trophy.
Looking at the match odds, we also find slight value in the qualification odds.
Comparing the ratings of the two teams, there is again a small edge in Aston Villa’s qualification price.
According to my calculations, the fair odds for Villa to qualify are around 2.10. Therefore, at 2.22 on Elabet, there is enough value for me to take the bet.




