Europa League: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 07/05/2026

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Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Villa Park (Birmingham), 20:00 @ 07.05.2026

Nottingham hold a 1-0 lead going into the second leg, but the tie remains open. The odds suggest value on Aston Villa to qualify, as their chances appear slightly underestimated.

Betting on qualifications

The all-English Europa League clash sees Nottingham heading into the second leg with a 1-0 lead from the first match, making them the slight favorites to reach the final.

If we accept the outright winner odds as correct (which they are not entirely), then there is significant value in Aston Villa’s qualification odds in combination with those for winning the trophy.

Looking at the match odds, we also find slight value in the qualification odds.

Comparing the ratings of the two teams, there is again a small edge in Aston Villa’s qualification price.

According to my calculations, the fair odds for Villa to qualify are around 2.10. Therefore, at 2.22 on Elabet, there is enough value for me to take the bet.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest | Aston Villa to qualify
Sport Football
Odds 2.11
Bookmaker Megapari Online Betting and Bookmaker Bonuses
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Tipster Panagiotis Tragos
Tipster, sports analyst
In October 2026, Panagiotis will celebrate 30 years in betting. With experience across all the major betting press (Hrimaspor, Proporama, Kingbet, MatchMoney, etc.), alongside his sports reporting, he has developed a distinctive way of explaining his picks. Some readers may remember him from Betonet, where he worked with the late Giorgos Paraskevas, while others followed him at Makrabet, where he was one of the founding members. Today, he is exclusively here with us. His writing style is unique, often enriched with humor, and marked by his classic line: “There are two opinions: mine and the wrong one.” And what does he bet on? Almost exclusively Asian handicap football, with the occasional American sport (NFL, NHL, MLB – but never NBA), and generally wherever he believes there is value to be found.
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