Champions League: Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal 29/04/2026

Asian handicap betting

After the huge qualification against Barcelona in the Champions League quarter-finals, Atletico showed signs of relaxation. With no tangible targets left in the league, they lost three consecutive matches and also lost the Cup final on penalties to Real Sociedad.

The Champions League is now their only remaining goal, which is why Simeone rotated and refreshed all his key players in recent matches. On Saturday, however, they returned to winning ways with a 3-2 home victory over Bilbao.

Arsenal as a team have a higher ceiling, but at the moment they are not in good shape. Neither in terms of performance nor psychologically. They are in danger of losing another league title that until a few weeks ago looked almost certain. For quite some time now, they have been playing two “finals” every week and that has taken a toll on them.

Well-rested and without other concerns on their mind, Atletico can benefit from the atmosphere of the “Metropolitano” and get close to a win. I believe they have a slight edge and this has not been reflected in the odds. In a three-way market, they should be the slight favorite. Arsenal, of course, cannot put the Champions League in second place, but the league remains their biggest obsession.

The match is open to any result. We expect a highly tactical game that will be decided by key moments. We back the freshness, home advantage and focus of the hosts. With the Asian handicap at zero, we get our stake back in case of a draw.