UEFA Nations League: Denmark vs Wales 27/09/2026

The home game against Wales is a must-win, since their main goal remains avoiding the bottom spot in the group.

Craig Bellamy’s side held their own in Lisbon. They lost 1-0 to a clearly superior Portugal, but defended well and even threatened themselves on a few occasions.

I expect them to approach this match in much the same way. They’ll play tough and compact, and look to exploit Denmark’s defensive issues.

I’ll back the home win, with the hosts clearly superior in individual quality, but also banking on Wales’ resilience — with the absences they have, they’ll be well set up to shield their backline. The 1 + under 3.5 combo is an attractive pick, priced around 2.25.