UEFA Nations League: Denmark vs Portugal 01/10/2026

Denmark look solid and close to securing their minimum goal, while Portugal are already in a strong position after two wins. Both teams are unlikely to take risks, so a slow, tactical game is expected — making the under 2.75 goals an appealing option.

Betting on Goals

Denmark left a good impression in their first two matches. They played Norway more or less on level terms away from home, eventually losing 3-2, then did their job by beating Wales 2-0 at home.

They’re on track to avoid the bottom spot in the group, which is their minimum target, and that could pretty much be secured if they also beat Wales away in Cardiff on Sunday.

Portugal opened with a 2/2 record, though without getting anywhere near their ceiling. Jesus bought himself some breathing room with those results, and the win in Oslo was a decisive step toward top spot.

That’s where he put his early statements about the importance of the group’s tactical discipline into practice. He ceded the pitch, let Norway have the ball, and struck in the space left behind.

Their position in the table gives them the option to approach this match the same way. I don’t expect Denmark to take big risks either, though — it wouldn’t suit them, and a draw wouldn’t be a bad result for them at all.

I think it’s quite likely we’ll see a slow-tempo game, and with the main goals line at 2.75, the under holds some betting interest.