World Cup 2026: DR Congo vs Uzbekistan 28/06/2026

DR Congo need a win to secure qualification, while Uzbekistan are expected to remain competitive despite already being eliminated, setting up a physical and hard-fought contest. With both teams likely to commit plenty of fouls and a strict referee in charge, the cards market offers the best betting value.

Betting on cards

The final round of the group stage finds DR Congo needing a victory to secure qualification, while Uzbekistan are playing only for pride.

That said, I still expect Uzbekistan to be fully competitive. Opportunities to play at a World Cup are rare for them, and they are unlikely to approach this match with a relaxed attitude. DR Congo, on the other hand, earned an impressive draw against Portugal and know that another three points would complete a remarkable run to the knockout stage.

Both teams are physical, aggressive and committed sides that have every reason to leave everything on the pitch. They commit plenty of fouls, are not afraid of contact and, in such a high-stakes encounter, neither side is likely to shy away from tactical fouls if necessary.

The referee will be Germany’s Felix Zwayer, one of the strictest officials in European football. This match should give him plenty of opportunities to reach for his cards.

The line looks very achievable and is available at attractive underdog odds. Cards have generally been scarce throughout the tournament, largely because referees have shown a high level of tolerance. Zwayer, however, is more than capable of breaking that trend, as leniency has never been one of his trademarks.