Montenegro kicks off their UEFA Nations League campaign at home against Latvia on November 12, 2026, with the hosts widely expected to secure three points. Despite both teams having unblemished records this season (Montenegro due to no matches played, Latvia with a single win), the bookmakers heavily favor the home side. Montenegro’s recent head-to-head record against Latvia is strong, having lost none of their last five encounters, securing two wins and three draws.
Latvia, in contrast, enters the fixture on the back of a difficult run, winning just one of their last eight matches and drawing another, while losing four of their last five outings. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having conceded 15 goals in eight games. Montenegro will be looking to capitalize on this, with the odds suggesting a comfortable victory and potentially a high-scoring affair with Over 2.5 goals priced at 1.86. The key narrative for Montenegro will be to start their campaign strongly and assert their dominance against a struggling Latvian outfit. For Latvia, it's about shoring up their defense and trying to spring an unlikely upset.